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The Antibacterial Drug
Market Analysis
2008-2013
Publication
Date
March 2008
Publisher
VISIONGAIN
Product Type
Report
Pages
not applicable
ISBN Number
not applicable
Product Code
VISG05
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This brand new market analysis by visiongain
examines the prospects for antibacterial
drugs from 2008 to 2013, including sales
forecasts for leading pharmaceutical
products. The antibacterial market is large
in terms of disease area as well as the
different drug classes. However, this market
is entering into a crucial period with many
key products losing patent protection,
facing heavy generic competition. In the
light of this, including other factors,
visiongain predicts this market to decline
in revenues – but
which products will suffer most?
How can you fight this generic competition?
The antibacterial drug market generated
revenues of $30274m in 2006 – but what will
it be in 2013? Only this brand new report
will tell you.
The antibacterial market only contained one
blockbuster drug in 2006, this being Johnson
& Johnson’s Levaquin. Visiongain predicts
that there will be room for one more
blockbuster drug as Levaquin will lose
patent protection. This detailed report also
highlights pipeline developments and
important contemporary issues, especially
commercial drivers and restraints.
This report will specifically analyse the
world markets for the following classes of
antibacterials:
Cephalosporins
Macrolides
Penicillins
Fluoroquinolones
Carbapenems
Miscellaneous.
The group 'miscellaneous' is an assorted
group of antibacterials which includes the
minor classes: the tetracyclines,
aminoglycosides, glycopeptides and
sulphonamides plus individual antibacterials
such as Zyvox and Vancocin.
The Antibacterial Drug Market Analysis 2008
examines the market critically through a
comprehensive review of available
information. Sources include industrial
databases, commercial news, published
reports, economic research and consultation
with experts. Visiongain applies financial
forecasting, qualitative analyses and the
assessment of unmet needs to provide a
comprehensive market report with detailed
analysis and informed opinion.
In particular, The Antibacterial Drug Market
concentrates on the following essential
aspects of the market:
Discussion of the current pharmaceutical
market
Forecast of the worldwide pharmaceutical
market from 2008-2013
Drivers and restraints facing the
antibacterial drug market
Opportunities and threats facing the
antibacterial drug market
Growth of the antibacterial drugs market
between 2008-2013
Commercial prospects for the market-leading
drugs, with sales forecasts from 2008-2013
Individual forecasts of the leading drug
classes from 2008-2013
The potential of generics manufacturers to
penetrate this market
Pipeline developments with blockbuster
potential
Currently marketed drugs with blockbuster
potential
Discussion of unmet therapeutic needs and
relative advantages of products
Why you should buy this report:
To receive a comprehensive analysis of the
prospects for antibacterial drugs from
2008-2013
To discover predicted revenues, growth rates
and other key metrics for leading
pharmaceutical treatments from 2008-2013
To determine key activities of leading
companies
To discover “hot” pipeline developments and
up-and-coming products
To determine the forces that influence the
market for antibacterial drugs:
Competitive characteristics of the market
Drivers
Restraints
Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and
threats (SWOT analysis)
To find out where the market is heading -
both technologically and commercially
Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Executive Summary
1.1 Market Review: Growth to 2013 Will Be
Low
1.2 Cephalosporin’s Class Leads the Market
1.3 Aims, Scope and Format of the Report
Chapter 2 Introduction to Bacterial
Infections
2.1 Bacteria: An Introduction
2.1.1 Bacteria Classification
2.1.2 What is Bacterial Infection?
2.1.3 Bacterial Invasiveness
2.1.4 Bacterial Toxigenicity
2.1.5 Bacterial Virulence
2.1.6 The Factors that Govern the
Transmission of Bacterial Disease
2.1.7 Clinically Important Bacteria
2.2 Bacterial Disease Statistics
2.2.1 Infectious Diseases - Major Cause of
Deaths Worldwide
2.2.2 Risk Factors for Bacterial Infections
2.2.3 Re-emergence of Infectious Diseases -
A Major Global Threat
2.3 Definition of Antibacterials
2.4 The History of Antibacterials
2.4.1 The Discovery of Penicillin
2.4.2 Early Use of Penicillin
2.4.3 Penicillin Resistance
2.4.4 Discovery of Streptomycin,
Chloramphenicol & Tetracycline
2.4.5 Antibacterial Effects
2.5 The Leading Antibacterials
2.6 The Principal Mechanisms of Action of
Antibacterials
2.6.1 Antibacterials as Cell Wall Synthesis
Inhibitors
2.6.2 Antibacterials as Cell Membrane
Inhibitors
2.6.3 Antibacterials as Protein Synthesis
Inhibitors
2.6.4 The Effects of Antibacterials on
Nucleic Acids
2.7 Antibiotics as Competitive Inhibitors
2.8 Antibacterial Classification by Chemical
Structure
2.8.1 Penicillin
2.8.2 Semisynthetic Penicillins
2.8.3 Carbapenems
2.8.4 Cephalosporins
2.8.5 Quinolones and Fluoroquinolones
2.8.6 Tetracyclines
2.8.7 Aminoglycosides
2.8.8 Sulphonamides
2.8.9 Macrolides
2.8.10 Glycopeptides
2.8.11 Oxazolidinones
2.9 Broad-Spectrum vs Narrow-Spectrum
Antibiotics
Chapter 3 The World Market for
Antibacterials 2008-2013
3.1 The Global Antibacterial Drug Market
Will Decline During 2008-2013
3.2 Pfizer Currently Leads the
Antibacterials Market
3.3 Cephalosporins to Continue Their
Domination of the Antibacterials Market
Despite Negative Growth
3.4 Miscellaneous Class Will Display High
Revenues During 2006-2013
3.5 Levaquin is Currently the World’s
Leading Antibacterial Agent – But will it
Last?
3.6 Patent Expiry Will Reduce Growth Rates
3.7 Prescriptions for Antibiotics in the
Developed World Are Falling
3.8 Pharmaceutical Companies Accept that
Future Antibacterial Blockbuster Drugs Will
Be Increasingly Rare
3.9 Generic Drugs Are Not Necessarily Cheap
3.10 Competition in the Antibacterials Drug
Market to Become Increasingly Intense
Chapter 4 The World Market for
Cephalosporins, 2008-2013
4.1 Cephalosporins Will Suffer From Patent
Expiration
4.2 Abbott's Omnicef Currently Leads the
Cephalosporins Market
4.2.1 Omnicef Will Lose Dominance in This
Class to Maxipime
4.3 Rocephin Will Decline in Growth
4.3.1 Rocephin Already Suffers From Generic
Competition
4.4 Maxipime Sales Will be Affected by the
Loss of Patent Protection
Chapter 5 The World Market for
Fluoroquinolones, 2008-2013
5.1 Increased Competition Will Lower
Revenues Among the Fluoroquinolones
5.2 Fluoroquinolones Linked With Side
Effects
5.3 Will J&J's Levaquin Still Dominate the
Fluoroquinolones Market After Patent
Expiration?
5.3.1 Levaquin Faces Generic Competition
5.3.2 Levaquin Approved for Urinary Tract
Infections and Acute Pyelonephritis
5.4 Avelox Will Exhibit Steady Growth
5.4.1 Head-to-Head Study Finds Avelox to be
More Effective in Patients with CAP
5.4.2 Avelox Monotherapy as Effective as
Combination Therapy in Patients With Severe
CAP
5.4.3 Avelox Monotherapy as Effective as
Multi-Dose Combination Therapy in Patients
With cIAI
5.4.4 Bayer Warns Doctors on Rare Avelox
Side Effects
5.5 Ciproxin Will Decline in Growth
5.6 Cravit Will Gradually Decline in Sales
Chapter 6 The World Market for Broad
Spectrum Penicillins, 2008-2013
6.1 Penicillins Will Retain Their Niche
Despite a Marked Decline in Sales
6.2 Can GSK’s Augmentin Overcome Generic
Competition?
6.2.1 Why Will Augmentin's Revenue Drop?
6.3 Tazocin Will Decline in Sales
Chapter 7 The World Market for
Macrolides, 2008-2013
7.1 The Macrolides Will Face Decreased
Growth
7.1.1 Macrolides: Possible Extra-Infectious
Indications May Expand the Market
7.1.2 The Immunomodulatory Effects of
Macrolides May Aid Revenue Growth
7.1.3 Macrolides May Have a Clinical use in
Other Chronic Lower Airway Diseases
7.2 Abbott’s Klacid/Biaxin Leads This Market
7.2.1 Klacid/Biaxin Suffers From Generic
Competition
7.3 Zithromax Faces Negative Growth
7.3.1 Pfizer Petitions FDA to Recall Generic
Azithromycin Products to Correct Misbranding
7.4 Can Azithromycin PFIZ Recover Revenues
Lost From Zithromax?
Chapter 8 The
World Market for Carbapenems. 2008-2012
8.1 Carbapenems Will See High Growth
8.2 Merck & Co’s Zienam Leads This Market
8.3 Merrem Exhibits Strong Growth
8.3.1 Merrem Receives FDA Approval for
Complicated Skin Infections
Chapter 9 The World Market for Miscellaneous
Antibacterials, 2008-2013
9.1 Miscellaneous Antibacterials Will See
High Growth as Sales Increases
9.2 Pfizer’s Zyvox Set to Reach Blockbuster
Status
9.2.1 Zyvox Will Overtake Levaquin to Become
the New Market Leader in the Antibacterials
Sector
9.3 Targocid Shows Some Positive Growth -
But Will it Continue?
9.4 Vancocin Will Exhibit Negative Growth
Chapter
10 An Analysis of Factors That Influence the
Antibacterials Market
10.1 SWOT Analysis of the Antibacterials
Market
10.2 Drivers and Restraints on Market Growth
10.2.1 Market Drivers
10.2.2 Market Restraints
10.3 To What Extent is the Antibacterials
Market Threatened by Generic Substitutes?
10.3.1 The Threat of Generic Drugs to Brand
Name Pharmaceuticals
10.4 Lifecycle Management Strategies Will
Become More Prominent to Protect Soon-to-be
off-Patent Drugs
10.5 Additional Indications for Currently
Available Brands May be an Advantage
10.6 Antibacterial Resistance Is Due to
Increased Infection Rates and Antibacterial
Overuse
10.6.1 Concerns Over Antibacterial Use
10.6.2 FDA Measures on Bacterial Resistance
10.6.3 Tackling Antibacterial Resistance
10.6.4 The Use of Narrow Spectrum
Antibacterials is the Best Strategy to Avoid
Resistance
10.6.5 Antibiotics in the US Carry Warnings
Against Overuse
10.7 Comparative Studies - A Two Edged Sword
10.8 Challenges that Face Antibacterials
Pharmaceutical Developers
10.9 Future Antibacterial Blockbuster Drugs
is Increasingly Unlikely
10.10 Antibacterials in the Developing
Countries
10.11 The Future of the Antibacterials
Market - Closing Comments
Chapter 11 Antibacterials Pipeline Products
11.1 Summary of Antibacterials Pipeline
Products From Phase II and Above
11.2 The Antibacterials Pipeline is Large
11.3 The Potential of the Antibacterials
Market Has Encouraged R&D
11.4 Innovation Rules For Early Stage
Pipeline Drugs
11.5 The FDA Will Fast Track New
Antibacterials
11.6 Traditional Antibacterial Drugs are
Less Popular
11.7 Promising Pipeline Drugs - Overview
11.7.1 Middlebrook's Moxatag
11.7.2 Shogoo's SPK 0602
11.7.3 Pfizer's Zeven (dalbavancin)
11.7.4 Arpida's Iclaprim
11.7.5 Targanta's Oritavancin
11.8 Gracevit Gets Approval for
Manufacturing and Marketing
11.9 New Approaches to Antibacterial Drug
Development
11.10 Antibacterial Pipeline Shows Short-
and Long-Term Potential
Chapter 12 Conclusion
12.1 Patent Expiry of Brand Name Products
Will Reduce Growth Rates
12.2 Cephalosporins to Continue Their
Domination of the Antibacterials Market
Despite Negative Growth
12.3 Future Antibacterial Blockbuster Drugs
are Increasingly Unlikely
12.4 Market Drivers
12.5 Market Restraints
12.6 Opportunities in the Antibacterials
Market
12.7 Antibacterials Pipeline Overview
12.8 The Future of the Antibacterials Market
- Closing Comments
List of Tables
Table 1.1 Top Ten Leading Antibacterials, by
Revenues ($m), 2006
Table 2.1 Clinically Important Bacteria
Table 2.2 The Leading Antibacterials by
Class, 2006
Table 2.3 Antibiotic Action by Drug Class
Table 3.1 World Revenues ($m) for the
Leading Antibacterial Drugs, by Class,
2008-2013, 2018 & 2023
Table 3.2 World Market Revenue ($m), 7-Year
CAGR (%) and Market Share (%) for
Antibacterial Drugs by Class, 2006 & 2013
Table 3.3 The Leading Top Ten Antibacterials,
2006
Table 4.1 World Revenues ($m) for
Cephalosporin Drugs, 2008-2013, 2018 & 2023
Table 4.2 World Market Revenue ($m), 7-Year
CAGR (%) and Market Share (%) for
Cephalosporin Drugs, 2006 & 2013
Table 5.1 World Revenues ($m) for
Fluoroquinolones, 2008-2013, 2018 & 2023
Table 5.2 World Market Revenue ($m) and
Market Share (%) and 7-Year CAGR (%) for
Fluoroquinolones, 2006 & 2013
Table 6.1 World Revenues ($m) for
Penicillins by Leading Products, 2008-2013,
2018 & 2023
Table 6.2 World Market Revenue ($m) and
Market Share (%) and 7-Year CAGR (%) for
Penicillins, 2006 & 2013
Table 7.1 World Revenues ($m) for Macrolides,
2008-2013, 2018 & 2023
Table 7.2 World Market Revenue ($m) and
Market Share (%) and 7-Year CAGR (%) for
Macrolides, 2006 & 2013
Table 8.1 World Revenues ($m) for
Carbapenems, 2008-2013, 2018 & 2023
Table 8.2 World Market Revenue ($m) and
Market Share (%) and 7-Year CAGR (%) for
Carbapenems, 2006 & 2013
Table 9.1 World Revenues ($m) for
Miscellaneous Drugs, 2008-2013, 2018 & 2023
Table 9.2 World Market Revenue ($m), 7-Year
CAGR (%) and Market Share (%) for
Miscellaneous Drugs, by Class, 2006 & 2013
Table 10.1 A SWOT Chart for the
Antibacterials Market, 2008-2013
Table 11.1 Pipeline Drugs for Antibacterials,
2008
Table 12.1 World Revenues ($m) for the
Leading Antibacterial Drugs, by Class,
2008-2013, 2018 & 2023
Table 12.2 Top Ten Antibacterial Drugs, by
Revenue ($m), 2006
List of Figures
Figure 3.1 Revenues ($m) for the Leading
Antibacterial Drugs, by Class, 2008-2013
Figure 3.2 Total Revenues ($m) for the
Antibacterial Drugs Market, 2008-2013
Figure 3.3 World Market Share (%) for
Antibacterial Drugs by Class, 2006
Figure 3.4 World Market Share (%) for
Antibacterial Drugs by Class, 2013
Figure 3.5 The Leading Top Ten
Antibacterials by Revenue ($m), 2006
Figure 4.1 Total World Revenues ($m) for
Cephalosporin Drugs, 2008-2013
Figure 4.2 World Revenues ($m) for the
Cephalosporin Drugs by Leading Product,
2008-2013
Figure 4.3 World Market Share (%) for
Cephalosporin Drugs by Leading Product, 2006
Figure 4.4 World Market Share (%) for
Cephalosporin Drugs by Leading Product, 2013
Figure 4.5 World Omnicef Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 4.6 World Rocephin Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 4.7 World Maxipime Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 5.1 Total World Revenues ($m) for
Fluoroquinolones, 2008-2013
Figure 5.2 World Revenues ($m) for the
Fluoroquinolones by Leading Products,
2008-2013
Figure 5.3 World Market Share (%) for
Fluoroquinolones by Products, 2006
Figure 5.4 World Market Share (%) for
Fluoroquinolones by Products, 2013
Figure 5.5 World Levaquin Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 5.6 World Avelox Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 5.7 World Ciproxin Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 5.8 World Cravit Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 6.1 Total World Revenues ($m) for
Penicillins, 2008-2013
Figure 6.2 World Revenues ($m) for the
Penicillins by Leading Product, 2008-2013
Figure 6.3 World Market Share (%) for
Penicillins, 2006
Figure 6.4 World Market Share (%) for
Penicillins, 2013
Figure 6.5 World Augmentin Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 6.6 World Tazocin Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 7.1 Total World Revenues ($m) for
Macrolides, 2008-2013
Figure 7.2 World Revenues ($m) for the
Macrolides by Leading Product, 2008-2013
Figure 7.3 World Market Share (%) for
Macrolides, 2006
Figure 7.4 World Market Share (%) for
Macrolides, 2013
Figure 7.5 World Klacid Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 7.6 World Zithromax Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 7.7 World Azithromycin PFIZ Revenues
($m), 2008-2013
Figure 8.1 Total World Revenues ($m) for
Carbapenems, 2008-2013
Figure 8.2 World Revenues ($m) for the
Carbapenems by Leading Product, 2008-2013
Figure 8.3 World Market Share (%) for
Carbapenems, 2006
Figure 8.4 World Market Share (%) for
Carbapenems, 2013
Figure 8.5 World Zienam Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 8.6 World Merrem Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 9.1 Total World Revenues ($m) for
Miscellaneous Drugs, 2008-2013
Figure 9.2 World Revenues ($m) for the
Miscellaneous Drugs by Leading Product,
2008-2013
Figure 9.3 World Market Share (%) for
Miscellaneous Drugs by Leading Product, 2006
Figure 9.4 World Market Share (%) for
Miscellaneous Drugs by Leading Product, 2013
Figure 9.5 World Zyvox Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 9.6 World Targocid Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 9.7 World Vancocin Revenues ($m),
2008-2013
Figure 12.1 Revenues ($m) for the Leading
Antibacterial Drugs, by Class, 2008-2013
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